I’ll have more later, after I’ve had some time to read the decision and think about it. So, as usual, I’m not going to be one of those bloggers with a new post up immediately after the news breaks. It’s going to take me a little longer.
The decision will be made public at 10 a.m. at the courthouse in San Francisco and on the court’s website.
My heart is in my throat, and I’m holding my breath. I don’t think I’ll be able to concentrate on much today until I get the news.
If it comes against marriage equality, I think the momentum will still be largely on our side anyway. If it comes down for equality, it’ll be a huge win, but prepare for a backlash.
Yes, the right wing is losing on gay rights issues. That is, very precisely, why they’re more dangerous now than they have been in the past. Their impending irrelevance is not a reason to worry less; it’s a reason to worry more. And getting Prop 8 overturned in the courts would ignite the situation, because it will hit absolutely every angry-making right-wing button there is:
1. The biggest state in the country, comprising fully 1/8 of the nation’s population, will have legal gay marriage. That, right there, will be pretty much the end of the war, and they know it. The five states currently on board are worrisome, but they’re small and not considered the kind of cultural juggernaut California is.
2. Overturning Prop 8 would push every button the right wing has about Godless liberals on the coasts imposing their moral values on them. “Pushing their immorality down our throats” has always been one of rural America’s major recurring complaints, particularly among evangelicals who seriously believe that God will withdraw his special blessing from America – and possibly destroy the country — if gays can get married. (I know, I know. But they are what they are.) While the feelings about this have always run strong and deep, they’ve become much more intense since their political power began slipping away from them in 2006, and particularly since Obama took office and they lost Congress.
In this brave new world, the perverts don’t even have the basic decency to feel shame about it anymore. They don’t even know where to start with that. It makes them absolutely desperate with rage.
3. The fact that the deed was done by a bunch of California liberal activist judges who had to reverse the outcome of a statewide election — an election that every conservative church in the country had at least an emotional stake in, and often a financial stake as well — is going to be the straw that breaks the camel’s back. They hate judges. They really hate liberal judges. They really, really hate California liberal judges, and have since Earl Warren. Having judges undo what they considered to be a major moral victory for their side could push their fury from merely seething to absolutely explosive.
I’d even say, expect a violent backlash, because the rhetoric on the right has not calmed down on this issue. I wouldn’t even rule out another Knoxvile.